Trevor Lawrence | Clemson
Lawrence is about as complete as they come as a prospect and is locked in to become Urban Meyer’s guy at QB. Outside of having three years of the best experience possible, Lawrence has a rocket arm, prototypical size and the leadership qualities that all coaches yearn for. This pick is a no brainer.
Zach Wilson | BYU
DraftID has been high on Zach Wilson since August, but even we didn’t think that he’d reach as high as 2nd Overall. Wilson has proven that he has an NFL worthy arm and finished as one of the most efficient players in college football last year. He may not have played in an elite conference, but also lacked having much of a supporting cast around him as well. There have been rumors that Wilson would prefer to play in San Francisco than in New York, so an Eli Manning/Phillip Rivers situation could arise…but as of now the Jets seem married to the idea of bringing Wilson in as their guy.
Mac Jones | Alabama
Jones isn’t the flashiest prospect and is far from the top when it comes to physical ability, but he also has evolved into one of the highest IQ Quarterback prospects. In August, we didn’t even know how long Jones would hold the job before transitioning to 5 star prospect Bryce Young, but by the end of the season he was controlling the offense better than anyone in Alabama history. He may not have as great of an arm as Tre Lance or be as athletic as Justin Fields, but he dissected SEC defenses with ease and finished with a PFF Grade of 95.8 (1st in the nation). For those arguing that Jones was just a dump down passer and product of a great offense, his passing was actually better as it got further down the field…on deep balls that traveled 20+ yards in the air he was 33/56 for 17 TDs and a passer rating of 128.0.
The Atlanta Falcons trade the 4th overall pick to the Chicago Bears in exchange for their 20th overall pick, a 2022 1st round pick and a 2023 1st round pick.
Trey Lance | North Dakota State
If Lance falls outside of the top 3 QBs, then there is a high probability that he will be swept up via trade. Lance only has 17 starts at the FCS level, which makes him the riskiest of the top 5, but the raw ability is clearly there and he had one of the best seasons in the history of the division. Lance is likely a sit and learn type of prospect and could figure out a lot about the league from a seasoned veteran like Andy Dalton…the epitome of a true professional. Dalton may not be the most successful QB, but he certainly can teach a rookie how to approach the job just like Alex Smith did for Patrick Mahomes.
Justin Fields | Ohio State
Fields entered the season as our second rated QB, but has taken a significant hit since then. He had his ups and downs in 2020 and was exposed in several games including the Big 10 Championship against Northwestern. Despite having two 1st round worthy receivers and a mid round running back, he was unable to play consistently throughout the season. There were many factors that contributed to that, such as a shortened season with frequent cancellations, but Fields battled through adversity and finished the season as runner up to Alabama. Along with shakey consistency, Fields has had some questions arise in terms of his commitment and work ethic, which really can only be taken with a grain of salt this deep into smokescreen season. His tape wasn’t great in 2020, but he certainly has the elite talent with one of the highest ceilings in the draft. He is an absolute steal if he falls to 9 to Denver and an immediate upgrade over “Tiny Hands” Drew Lock.
Day 2 (Rounds 2-3)
Kyle Trask | Florida
The Kyle Trask hype has become pretty much irrelevant since its peak in mid-October, but you cannot deny that the NFL potential is certainly there. Trask had a great supporting cast, but also was one of the best big play throwers in the class. Atlanta has been rumored to be looking for an heir to Matt Ryan, but instead of wasting the 4th overall pick on a guy, they take a shot here and steal away the prospect that has interested their division rivals, the New Orleans Saints. This pick would be even more interesting if the Falcons take Pitts 4th overall.
Davis Mills | Stanford
Many fans and analysts are calling for the Pats to take a QB at 15, but it is no mystery that this is the sweet spot for Bill Belichick when it comes to selecting one. Since 2011, the Patriots have drafted three Day 2 QBs (Ryan Mallett, Jacoby Brissett, and Jimmy Garoppolo), all of who they later flipped for picks. This time they have a shot to land a guy that would become the next franchise QB for the storied team with one year Stanford starter Davis Mills. He isn’t the most polished player and certainly doesn’t jump off of tape, but he is a smart pocket passer that has the potential to become a very good game-manager in the league under Belichick’s control.
Kellen Mond | Texas A&M
By now every college football fan probably knows the name of Kellen Mond after he has been a starter for the last 4 years, however, that is his biggest detractor as a prospect. Mond frequently was a favorite to have a huge season, but never really got to the next level. He has a solid set of tools, but was never able to make that jump to the next tier as a QB. Mond reminds us a lot of Josh Dobbs as a prospect due to his inevitably high ceiling and to this day we are still waiting on a breakout from both of them. If WFT takes him here you can expect an electric QB battle for the 2nd spot on the depth chart between Kyle Allen, Taylor Heinicke and Kellen Mond.
Day 3 (Rounds 4-7)
115. Denver Broncos – Jamie Newman | Wake Forest
If the Broncos hold off this far, then Drew Lock will be ecstatic at the opportunity to prove himself for another season. However, don’t count out a Day 3 prospect who opted out (and thus lowered his draft stock) to come into camp and compete for the job.
129. Pittsburgh Steelers – Brady White | Memphis
White is the oldest QB prospect (25), which takes a massive hit on his stock, but he did nothing but produce at Memphis. Look for Pittsburgh to bring in a guy who can come in and compete as a backup behind Big Ben in his likely final season.
138. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Feleipe Franks | Arkansas
The Bucs obviously are set with Tom Brady for the time being, but could benefit from bringing in a young QB to learn from the GOAT. Franks is no guarantee to even make the roster, but has the size and athleticism to make it at the next level. If it doesn’t work out then maybe he can become a Tight End?!?
151. Philadelphia Eagles – Shane Buechele | SMU
The Eagles are in a full blown rebuild and the only thing that is guaranteed at this point is that Jalen Hurts will have to earn his job. Buechele adds some much needed competition at the position and brings a similar skillset to former Eagles legend Nick Foles.
158. Minnesota Vikings – Ian Book | Notre Dame
Book has what it takes to be a valuable backup at the next level and will take game prep with the scout team as seriously as anyone.
168. Las Vegas Raiders – Sam Ehlinger | Texas
Ehlinger is the type of gunslinger that will make Jon Gruden fall in love and he is a coach that has always loved a crowded QB room. If I had to rate Ehlinger in Madden he would be in the 40s, but a guy with that much experience makes a phenomenal backup.
180. Dallas Cowboys – K.J. Costello | Mississippi State
The Cowboys lost their backup, Andy Dalton, in Free Agency and have seen what Ben DiNucci can’t do (be an NFL player). Costello is a safe pick here and brings a ton of experience to the table.