1. Jacksonville Jaguars
Aidan Hutchinson | Michigan, Edge
The Jags could get fancy with this pick and potentially move it to a team like the Lions, who clearly are very interested in securing the in-state prospect. Instead, the Jags opt to stay put and land a key addition to their front 7 that should create a structurally sound line with Josh Allen and Arden Key.
2. Detroit Lions
Travon Walker | Georgia, Edge
Walker seems to be the biggest riser in the class following the combine and now has the second highest odds to be the top pick, behind Hutchinson. He will be an interesting prospect to watch with Jacksonville, as there is clear interest that could push the aforementioned trade into motion.
3. Houston Texans
Ikem Ekwonu | NC State
The Texans could go many ways with this pick, including trading back for more capital. However, if they truly go best player available, then one of the elite tackles will be joining their team. After acquiring additional first round capital, BPA seems the most likely scenario for the Texans.
4. New York Jets
Sauce Gardner | Cincinnati, CB
Sauce Gardner has emerged as the unanimous CB1 in this class and will go a lot higher than what the consensus originally predicted. The long and lanky corner checked all the boxes this offseason and would give the Jets a prospect with press lockdown potential.
5. New York Giants
Evan Neal | Alabama, OT
The Giants have been mocked offensive lineman every single pick since they drafted Daniel Jones. They finally made some beneficial moves this offseason by strengthening the interior with Jon Feliciano, Mark Glowinski and Max Garcia. Neal would lock down the second tackle spot on the line, but he also brings tremendous versatility and upside to fill in anywhere, as he did throughout his career at Alabama.
6. Carolina Panthers
Kenny Pickett | Pittsburgh, QB
I’ve bounced back and forth with this pick for the Panthers, but they certainly are doing their due diligence on Pickett, Willis and Corral. Although Willis clearly portrays the most upside of that group, Matt Rhule continuously makes the wrong move at QB, which has done a shockingly high 4 times in 3 years. Pickett brings a lot to the table and is a high IQ, anticipatory passer, but the physical upside is limited. However, we see guys like that pan out time and time again.
7. New York Giants
Kyle Hamilton | Notre Dame, S
As much as the Giants would love to land Sauce Gardner, it doesn’t look like he will be on the board at this pick unless there are some teams that move around. Bradberry could be moved to a team like the Chiefs in the next few days, which would open this secondary up even more. Stingley could be an option here, but instead the Giants take the top safety prospect. Hamilton is taking heat from the media after he clocked a 4.59 40-yard dash, but that likely isn’t as big of a detractor as it seems right now.
8. Atlanta Falcons
Garrett Wilson | Ohio State, WR
What an offseason it has been for the Atlanta Falcons. Not only did they lose their WR1 and most attractive trade bait for a year over gambling, but they also were firmly in the driver seat to land Deshaun Watson before Cleveland made a late, winning push. Now they find themselves without their franchise QB and in the red in terms of cap space. The Falcons are now in a deep rebuild but can quickly address the WR issue by selecting the most versatile WR in the class.
9. Seattle Seahawks
Malik Willis | Liberty, QB
Willis has been trending to the Lions, but I think there is a better chance he slides outside the top 5 unless something drastically changes in the order or outlook. The Lions may be a year away from pulling the trigger on QB, which could cause the QBs next best chances to be the Panthers, Falcons and Seahawks. If the Panthers continue to be enthralled by Pickett, then the best landing spot could very well be the Seahawks, where Willis will have a clear shot at being a Day 1 starter over the shaky Drew Lock.
10. New York Jets
Devin Lloyd | Utah, LB
The Jets could add an offensive lineman here, but Devin Lloyd is the dark horse prospect that could likely land at the 10 slot. Veteran CJ Mosely has struggled since he opted out of the 2020 season and bringing in a highly versatile sideline to sideline linebacker to build around would be a step in the right direction for Saleh. Last year, the Jets went all offensive in the top 4 rounds, but now they bring in two of the most pro ready defenders.
11. LA Chargers (from Washington)
Jordan Davis | Georgia, DT
Media critics have shot down the idea of selecting an oversized defensive tackle in the early first round, but the word around the league is that scouts think he will go a lot higher than he’s slotted. The Chargers were close to contending but had one of the weakest run defenses in the NFL, which led to most of their losses. The Chargers would likely want to jump ahead of Minnesota here, which would likely require future picks.
12. Minnesota Vikings
Derek Stingley Jr. | LSU, CB
Stingley was once thought of as a top 5 lock, but his stock has taken a hit due to inconsistencies and injuries. His stock will be highly dependent on his pro day results tomorrow (March 31), which will be the first time that scouts will see him move around since last being on the field. If the Vikings are in the market for a shutdown press corner, then Stingley is the best option here.
13. Houston Texans
Drake London | USC, WR
London and Wilson are locked in as my tier 1 WRs, but their scheme fits ultimately will decide where they land and when they are picked. Part of why they grade out so well is because of versatility and do-it-all ability. The Texans have relied far too heavily on veteran Brandon Cooks and could seriously benefit from bringing in a young target that has the potential to develop into an elite WR.
14. Baltimore Ravens
Kayvon Thibodeaux | Oregon, Edge
Most of the news out of Baltimore is regarding a Lamar Jackson extension, but they could land one of the sneakiest home runs here with the falling stud, Kayvon Thibodeaux. He likely was a product of being a bit overhyped and under-produced at Oregon, but there is no doubt that the upside is there, and he could be a perfect fit for the Ravens defensive scheme.
15. Philadelphia Eagles
Trent McDuffie | Washington, CB
After Kelce announced his intentions to return for another season, Linderbaum is now likely out of the cards. The Eagles need help in their secondary opposite of Darius Slay and McDuffie is the ideal candidate that can play off the Pro Bowler’s strengths. The compact corner has one of the best combinations of strength and agility, which maximizes his potential in the ever-evolving NFL.
16. Philadelphia Eagles
Nakobe Dean | Georgia, LB
The Eagles spend their second of three first round picks on defense and bring in the player with the most to prove in this class. Nakobe Dean has a major chip on his shoulder due to his underwhelming physical abilities but was one of the best players in all of college football last season.
17. Washington Commanders
Chris Olave | Ohio State, WR
The Commanders offense has been a work in progress, but they certainly have found several developing studs to build around. Now that Wentz is in place to be the 2022 starter, they can give him another weapon on the outside that should open this offense up.
18. New Orleans Saints
Charles Cross | Mississippi State, OT
The Saints were another team that lost their identity following a failed attempt to land Deshaun Watson, which was quickly followed up with big money free agent OT Terron Armstead signing with Miami. The Saints OL will need some work, but Charles Cross is a prototypical blind side tackle that will develop best by being thrown into NFL action.
19. Philadelphia Eagles
Treylon Burks | Arkansas, WR
The Arkansas receiver didn’t test exceptionally well but brings incredible size and long speed. His versatile skillset will allow for him to plug in all over the field, which should keep his stock in the first round.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers
Desmond Ridder | Cincinnati, QB
I’m still not sold on Ridder, but the word around the league is that he is very much in the first-round mix and a team like the Steelers would love his combination of experience and maturity. There were accuracy and processing issues on his film, but he is an exceptional athlete that should be viewed as a project QB.
21. New England Patriots
Jameson Williams | Alabama, WR
The Pats have missed on their fair share of WRs in the past, but cash out here with their future WR1. Williams never had the privilege of playing with Mac Jones at Alabama, but the two are obviously familiar and have the potential to be one of the best duos in the league.
22. Green Bay Packers
Christian Watson | North Dakota State, WR
The Packers parted ways with one of the best receivers in the NFL just days after re-signing Rodgers to a 3-year deal. The Packers land a guy that brings both the size and speed it takes to be a high level WR1.
23. Arizona Cardinals
Tyler Linderbaum | Iowa, IOL
The tension between Kyler and the front office has risen this offseason, which reportedly stems from offensive line woes. The Cardinals land a player with the potential to become an elite safety at the next level who will be an integral part in the development of this year offense.
24. Dallas Cowboys
Devonte Wyatt | Georgia, DT
The Cowboys snag the third defensive lineman from the Georgia Bulldogs here and add an immediate impact player to their defensive line. The team lost several starters all over their defense, but Wyatt brings a versatile skillset to a team with young, emerging stars.
25. Buffalo Bills
Breece Hall | Iowa State, RB
We know that the Bills are targeting wide receivers, but if 6 are already off the board by their pick, then they likely will re-assess. The Bills missed out on Etienne last year but take a shot at their next offensive star here by assuring that they land the unanimous RB1.
26. Tennessee Titans
Trevor Penning | Northern Iowa, OT
The Titans lost Julio Jones but can figure depth down the draft at WR. At 26, the value in Penning is too high to pass up on, especially considering their run heavy scheme. The Titans add a nasty bruiser here, which is a clear upgrade at RT despite spending a second-round pick on Radunz just a year ago.
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jermaine Johnson | Florida State, Edge
Johnson is a top 5 edge in our book and has some great tape and production. He is a bit short and lacks exceptional bend, but his potential is still exceptionally high, and he would thrive in the Bucs defense.
28. Green Bay Packers
Zion Johnson | Boston College, IOL
Johnson is the typical phone booth guard that would give the Packers another mauler on the offensive line. He is also extremely versatile and would give the team options on the interior.
29. Kansas City Chiefs
Jahan Dotson | Penn State, WR
Like the Packers, the Chiefs now find themselves drafted near the back of the first round and without their WR1. Dotson will have big shoes to fill but rounds off the receivers taken on day one and has the makes to become Mahomes future number 1.
30. Kansas City Chiefs
George Karlaftis | Purdue, Edge
The Chiefs DL was one phase of their team that was extremely inconsistent all season long. Karflaftis brings them a versatile, strong and powerful defensive lineman that immediately will contribute to a contending team.
31. Cincinnati Bengals
Andrew Booth Jr. | Clemson, CB
The Bengals made serious improvements to their offensive line, which opens up the options here at 31. The second biggest hole that separated them from a Super Bowl was Eli Apple. Booth brings much more to the table than Apple, plus will probably bring much less publicity and backlash from around the league.
32. Detroit Lions
Leo Chenal | Wisconsin, LB
Chenal could seem like a reach in the first round, but he had one of the most productive off-season’s when it came to testing and measurements. Chenal is an absolute beast with an insanely high football IQ and grit that can make him the leader of this Lions defense.